Analysis of Rainfall Variability in West Sumatra

Authors

  • Rana Septiana Putri Department of Physics, Padang State University, Padang Author
  • Nofi Yendri Sudiar Department of Physics, Padang State University, Padang Author
  • Hamdi Department of Physics, Padang State University, Padang Author
  • Letmi Dwiridal Department of Physics, Padang State University, Padang Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24036/3p9q4073

Keywords:

Variability, Rainfall, West Sumatra, Climate

Abstract

Climate variability is closely related to climae change in a region. Rainfall is an element of climate that is highly variable, both in space and time scale. Change in rainfall patterns can have an impact on various sectors of human life and the environment. Analysis of rainfall variability is very useful for the first step in knowing climate change. This study examines the variability of rainfall in West Sumatra over a period of fifteen years, i.e 2010-2024 at 19 locations of the BMKG rain posts. West Sumatra has an equatorial  or bimodal type of rainfall where the area between the rainy season and the dry season is not much different so that it has two rainy seasons in a year. The analysis result show that annual rainfall variability in West Sumatra is in the low to moderate category. The  value of seasonal rainfall variability shows a range from low to vary high. The value of montly rainfall variability shows a range from moderate to very high in each rain post location. Analysis of spatial rainfall variability found that elevation affects rainfall with a negative correlation relationship, where the higher the elevation of rain post location, the rainfall received tend to decrease.

References

[1] A. K. Utami, H. Akhsan, dan N. Andriani, “Dinamika Trend Curah Hujan Ekstrem Di Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung Sebagai Indikasi Dampak Pemanasan Global,” J. Online Phys., vol. 9, no. 2, hal. 49–60, 2024, doi: 10.22437/jop.v9i2.32511.

[2] Y. Suryadi, D. N. Sugianto, dan Hadiyanto, “Identifikasi Perubahan Suhu dan Curah Hujan serta Proyeksinya di Kota Semarang Identification of Temperature and Rainfall Change and its Projections in Semarang City,” Proceeding Biol. Educ. Conf., vol. 14, no. 1, hal. 241–246, 2017, [Daring]. Tersedia pada: www.dataonline.bmkg.

[3] N. M. Anggraeni, . S., dan . Y., “Analisis Dampak Perubahan Iklim dan Pola Angin Pada Lingkungan Global,” J. Pendidikan, Sains Dan Teknol., vol. 2, no. 2, hal. 1041–1047, 2023, doi: 10.47233/jpst.v2i4.1366.

[4] A. Faruf dan M. Y. Ferijal, “Pengaruh Perubahan Iklim terhadap Frekuensi dan Durasi Deret Hari Kering di Kabupaten Aceh Besar,” J. Ilm. Mhs. Pertan., vol. 8, no. November, hal. 622–630, 2023, [Daring]. Tersedia pada: www.jim.unsyiah.ac.id/JFP%0APengaruh

[5] C. & J. L. Zang, “Barrier Effect of the Indo-Pacific Maritime Continenton the MJO: Prespectives from Tracking MJO Prepitation.,” J. Clim., vol. 30, hal. 3439–3459, 2017.

[6] N. & S. S. P. Alfuadi, “Curah Hujan Diurnal di Stasiun Meteorologi Sangkapura – Bawean dan Stasiun Klimatologi Citeko – Bogor Berdasarkan Pengaruh Regional dan Lokal,” Prosoding Semin. Nas. Fis. dan Apl. Univ. Padjadjaran., hal. p.2006, 2015.

[7] R. Z. Karimah, Z. Z. Azzahmi, A. D. Prasetya, A. N. D. Apsari, F. Fatah, dan K. N. Azziz, “Pemodelan spasial prediksi curah hujan melalui metode inverse distance weighting di wilayah Sumatera Barat tahun 2026,” Geomedia Maj. Ilm. dan Inf. Kegeografian, vol. 22, no. 1, 2024, doi: 10.21831/gm.v22i1.68239.

[8] D. Susilokarti, S. S. Arif, S. Susanto, dan L. Sutiarso, “Identifikasi Perubahan Iklim Berdasarkan Data Curah Hujan di Wilayah Selatan Jatiluhur Kabupaten Subang, Jawa Barat,” J. Agritech, vol. 35, no. 01, hal. 98, 2015, [Daring]. Tersedia pada: https://journal.ugm.ac.id/agritech/article/view/13038/15155

[9] R. P. & H. H. Didi Satiadi, Anis Purwaningsih, Wendi Harjupa, Ibnu Fathrio, Elfira Saufina, Trismidianto, Fahmi Rahmatia, “Orographic Rainfall Mechanism During MJO Over Sumatra Island,” Springer Proc. Phys., vol. 305, hal. pp 517–526, 2024.

[10] A. V Kochin, “The influence of orography and the direction of prevailing winds on precipitation distributions,” 2024, [Daring]. Tersedia pada: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.06193

[11] A. J. Stockham, D. M. Schultz, J. A. A. G. Fairman, dan A. A. P. Draude, “Quantifying the rain-shadow effect: Results from the peak district, british isles,” Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., vol. 99, no. 4, hal. 777–790, 2018, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0256.1.

[12] A. Faqih dan J. Listyarini, “Akhmad Faqih Jassica Listyarini Daftar Isi,” Var. dan perubahan iklim sera pemodelan iklim, vol. 9, no. 6, hal. 1–19, 2021.

[13] U. Khasanah dan E. Gardjito, “Analisis Variabilitas Curah Hujan Daerah Aliran Sungai (DAS) Kali Magok,” J. Komposit, vol. 8, no. 1, hal. 39–44, 2024, doi: 10.32832/komposit.v8i1.14756.

[14] E. I. Kumala Putri dan N. K Pandjaitan, “Dampak Variabilitas Iklim Dan Mekanisme Adaptif Masyarakat Petani Di Kawasan Beriklim Kering (Kasus Desa Boronubaen Dan Desa Taunbaen Timur, Kabupaten Timor Tengah Utara, Nusa Tenggara Timur),” Sodality J. Sosiol. Pedesaan, vol. 4, no. 2, hal. 1–6, 2016, doi: 10.22500/sodality.v4i2.13383.

[15] T. P. Purboningtyas, A. H. Dharmawan, dan E. I. K. Putri, “The Impact of Climate Variability on The Livelihood Structure of Farmers Households and Patterns of Adaptation,” Sodality J. Sosiol. Pedesaan, vol. 6, no. 3, 2019, doi: 10.22500/sodality.v6i3.21514.

[16] S. D. H. & E. K. Indratmoko, “Variabilitas curah hujan di Kabupaten Kebumen,” J. Geogr. Lingkung. Trop., vol. 1, no. 1, hal. 29–40, 2017.

[17] F. Aditya, “Analisis Variabilitas Curah Hujan di Kalimantan Barat Tahun 1991-2020,” Bul. Meteorol. Klimatologi, dan Geofis., vol. 2, no. 3, hal. 9–17, 2021.

[18] Supranto, Statistika: Teori dan Apilkasi, Edisi Ketu. Jakarta: Erlangga, 2008.

[19] A. Asfaw, B. Simane, A. Hassen, dan A. Bantider, “Variability and time series trend analysis of rainfall and temperature in northcentral Ethiopia: A case study in Woleka sub-basin,” Weather Clim. Extrem., vol. 19, no. June 2017, hal. 29–41, 2018, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2017.12.002.

[20] H. Bai et al., “Formation of nocturnal offshore rainfall near the West Coast of Sumatra: Land breeze or gravity wave?,” Mon. Weather Rev., vol. 149, no. 3, hal. 715–731, 2021, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-20-0179.1.

[21] Y. Damseaux, Adrien., Fettweis, Xavier., Lambert, M. & Cornet, “Representation of the rain shadow effect in Pantagonia using an orographic-derived regional climate model,” Int. J. Clim., vol. 40, hal. 1769–1783, 2019.

[22] R. D. S. Edvin Aldrian, “Identification of Three Dominant Rainfall Regions Within Indonesia and Their Relationship to Sea Surface Temperature,” Int. J. Climatol., vol. 23, hal. 1435–1452, 2003.

[23] F. A. Afghani, I. Mashuri, R. Khirtin, dan M. A. Cahyo, “Topography Effects on Rainfall Characteristics in Bandung City and Cilacap Regency for the 2016-2020 Period,” Sainmatika J. Ilm. Mat. dan Ilmu Pengetah. Alam, vol. 20, no. 2, hal. 157–167, 2023, doi: 10.31851/sainmatika.v20i2.11898.

[24] K. Suryanti, D. Fitriyani, R. Muharsyah, dan M. Marzuki, “Analisis Variasi Diurnal Curah Hujan di Sumatera Barat Menggunakan Data Rain Gauge dan IMERG,” Positron, vol. 10, no. 2, hal. 1, 2020, doi: 10.26418/positron.v10i2.38469.

[25] Tukidi, “Karakter Curah Hujan Di Indonesia,” J. Geogr., vol. 7, no. 2, hal. 136–145, 2010, [Daring]. Tersedia pada: http://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/index.php/JG/article/view/84

[26] M. Marzuki et al., “Characteristics of Precipitation Diurnal Cycle over a Mountainous Area of Sumatra Island including MJO and Seasonal Signatures Based on the 15-Year Optical Rain Gauge Data, WRF Model and IMERG,” Atmosphere (Basel)., vol. 13, no. 1, 2022, doi: 10.3390/atmos13010063.

[27] N. M. & E. N. Khoiruluswati, “Analisis variabilitas curah hujan musiman untuk pola tanam tembakau di Kabupaten Temanggung,” Universitas Gadjah Mada, 2020.

Downloads

Published

2026-04-30

How to Cite

Analysis of Rainfall Variability in West Sumatra. (2026). PILLAR OF PHYSICS, 19(1), 76-88. https://doi.org/10.24036/3p9q4073